kabarmakyay: November 2010

11/26/2010

ျမန္မာ့ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲရလဒ္အေပၚေလ့လာသံုးသပ္ခ်က္ (၁)

( ၂၀၁၀ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲနဲ႕ ပတ္သက္ျပီး Conflict Prevention and Peace Forum က အစီရင္ခံစာတစ္ခု ထုတ္ျပန္ ခဲ့ပါတယ္။ အဲဒီအစီရင္ခံစာကို ႏုိင္ငံတကာ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ ေလ့လာမႈ စံႏႈန္းမ်ားကို ႀကိဳတင္ေလ့က်င့္ ေပးထားတဲ့ ျပည္တြင္းက ႏုိင္ငံသား ၁၇၅ ဦးက ႏုိင္ငံအႏွံ႕မွာ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ က်င္းပပံုကို ေလ့လာေတြ႕ရိွခ်က္ ေတြကို အေျခခံၿပီး ျပဳစုထားတာ ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ စာတမ္း ျပဳစုသူက ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံမွာ အုိင္အယ္လ္အို ဆက္ဆံေရး အရာရိွ အျဖစ္ တာ၀န္ယူခဲ့ၿပီး ျမန္မာစကား ေကာင္းေကာင္း ေျပာတတ္တဲ့ Richard Horsey ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ အဲဒီ စာတမ္းထဲက အေရးႀကီးတဲ့ အပုိဒ္မ်ားကို ဆီေလ်ာ္ေအာင္ ေကာက္ႏႈတ္ ဘာသာျပန္ ေဖာ္ျပ လုိက္ပါတယ္။ စာတမ္း အမည္က Outcome of Myanmar Election ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ )
အခန္း ၂ ။ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲေန႕။ စာတမ္းမွာ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲေန႕ အေျခအေနနဲ႕ ပတ္သက္ျပီး အခုလိုေဖာ္ျပထားပါတယ္။
ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲေန႕မွာ မဲေပးမႈေတြက ေအးေအးခ်မ္းခ်မ္း ရိွတယ္။ အားလံုးက ၿငိမ္ၿငိမ္သက္သက္ပဲ။ ၿငိမ္သက္ လြန္းအား ၾကီးတယ္လို႕ေတာင္ ဆိုႏုိင္တယ္။ စည္းမ်ဥ္းနဲ႕ မညီတဲ့ ကိစၥေတြ အမ်ားႀကီး ရိွတယ္ဆိုတဲ့ သတင္းေတြလည္း ထြက္လာတယ္။ တကယ္ေတာ့ ဒီသတင္းမ်ိဳး မထြက္ဘူးဆိုရင္ ထူးဆန္းတယ္လို႕ ေျပာရမွာ ျဖစ္တယ္။ ဒါေပမယ့္ ေလ့က်င့္ ေပးထားျပီး စိတ္ခ်ရတဲ့ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေရး သမားမ်ားရဲ့ ကြန္ယက္အဖြဲ႕ ကေတာ့ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ မဲေပးပံုနဲ႕ ပတ္သက္ျပီး အခုလို ေကာက္ခ်က္ခ်ပါတယ္။
မဲေပးမႈအတြက္ စီမံ ေဆာင္ရြက္မႈေတြက ေယ်ဘူယ်အားျဖင့္ ေခ်ာေခ်ာေမာေမာ ရိွျပီး စည္းမ်ဥ္း အမ်ားစုကိုလည္း လိုက္နာ ၾကပါတယ္။ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲကို ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေနတဲ့ အဖြဲ႕၀င္ ၇၁ % က မဲေပးမႈရတဲ့ လုပ္ငန္းစဥ္ ေတြကို ေခ်ာေခ်ာေမြ႕ေမြ႕ ထိထိေရာက္ေရာက္ လုပ္သြားၾကတယ္။
အဲဒီေန႕ မဲရံုပိတ္တ့ဲ ညေန ေလးနာရီ မွာေတာ့ ဒီမိုကေရစီ ပါတီေတြက ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေတြဟာ စိတ္ဓာတ္ေတြ တက္ႂကြ ေနၾကပါတယ္။ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ အႀကိဳကာလမွာ ကန္႕သတ္မႈေတြ အေတာ္ မ်ားတဲ့အတြက္ သူတို႕ ပါတီေတြဟာ အမ်ားစု ေနရာ အႏုိင္မရႏုိင္ဘူး ဆိုတာ အစထဲက ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ ၿပီးသားပါ။ ဒါေပမယ့္ အမ်ိဳးသား ဒီမိုကေရစီ အဖြဲ႕ခ်ဳပ္နဲ႕ ျပည္ပက အတုိက္အခံ ေတြက သပိတ္ေမွာက္ဖို႕ ေတာင္းဆိုေနတဲ့ ၾကားက မဲလာေပးသူေတြ မ်ားခဲ့တဲ့ အတြက္၊ လူေတြဟာ သူတို႕ ႏွစ္သက္တဲ့ ပါတီကို မဲေပးဖို႕ ဆံုးျဖတ္ ခဲ့ၾကတဲ့အတြက္ သူတို႕ စိတ္အား တက္ၾကြ ေနၾကတာပါ။ မဲ႐ံု ပိတ္ၿပီးတဲ့ေနာက္ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ေလာင္း မ်ားရဲ့ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ေတြ၊ မဲရံုေစာင့္ေတြနဲ႕ အမ်ားျပည္သူေတြ ေရွ႕မွာ သက္ဆုိင္ရာ မဲရံုအလုိက္ မဲေတြ ေရတြက္ ၾကပါတယ္။ ကနဦးပိုင္းမွာ ဒီမိုကေရစီပါတီ မ်ားရဲ့ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ေတြက သူတို႕ကို ေထာက္ခံသူ အေတာ္ မ်ားတယ္လို႕ ေျပာခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ မဲေပးမႈကို ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေနတဲ့ ျပည္တြင္း အဖြဲ႕အစည္း တစ္ခုကေတာ့ ညသန္းေခါင္ အခ်ိန္ ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္ ထုတ္ျပန္ရာမွာ ဒီမိုကေရစီ ပါတီေတြ အေနနဲ႕ ၀င္ျပိဳင္တဲ့ေနရာမ်ားရဲ့ ၄၀%မွာ ႏုိင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး ကလည္း ၀င္ျပိဳင္တဲ့ေနရာ ၄၀% မွာ ႏုိင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ တစညကေတာ့ ၁၄% ေလာက္ပဲ ႏုိင္မယ္လို႕ ေဖာ္ျပခဲ့ပါတယ္။ ဒီမိုကေရစီ ပါတီေတြ အေနနဲ႕ မဲရံုုတုိင္းမွာ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ မထားႏုိင္တဲ့ အတြက္ မဲရံုအားလံုးရဲ့ ေရတြက္မႈကို မသိႏုိင္ ေပမယ့္ အဲဒီညမွာေတာ့ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ အေတာ္မ်ားမ်ားက သူတို႕အေနနဲ႕ မဲအသာရ ေနတယ္လို႕ ယံုၾကည္ခဲ့တာေတာ့ အမွန္ပဲ။
ဒါေပမယ့္ အေျခအေန ေတြက စျပီး ေျပာင္းကုန္တယ္။ မဲဆႏၵနယ္ တစ္ခ်ိဳ႕မွာ ျပည္ခုိင္ၿဖိဳး ဘက္က မဲရံႈးမယ့္ အေျခအေန ရိွတာနဲ႕ မဲေရတြက္မႈကို ရပ္ဆုိင္း လိုက္တယ္လို႕ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ အေတာ္မ်ားမ်ားက ေျပာျပတယ္။ အဲဒီေနရာေတြမွာ ေစာင့္ၾကည္သူေတြ မရိွဘဲ ထပ္မံ ေရတြက္တဲ့အခါ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ေလာင္းေတြက ႏုိင္ကုန္ျပန္တယ္။ တစ္ခ်ိဳ႕ မဲဆႏၵနယ္ ေတြမွာေတာ့ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးကို ေထာက္ခံတဲ့ ၾကိဳတင္မဲေတြ ျဗဳန္းစားၾကီး ေပၚလာျပီး ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေလာင္းေတြ ႏုိင္ကုန္တယ္။ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ေလာင္းေတြက တစ္ခ်ိဳ႕ ႀကိဳတင္မဲေတြဟာ မဲရံုပိတ္ျပီး ေနာက္မွာ ေရာက္လာတာ ျဖစ္ျပီး ပထမပိုင္း ႀကိဳတင္မဲေတြတံုးက ျပည္ခုိင္ၿဖိဳး မႏုိင္ေသးဘူးလို႕ ဆိုတယ္။
အားလံု ျခံဳၾကည့္လိုက္ရင္ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ မတုိင္ခင္တံုးက ေကာ္မရွင္ ဥကၠဌက ၾကိဳတင္မဲေပးမႈဟာ သိပ္မမ်ားပါဘူးလို႕ ဆိုခဲ့ေပမယ့္ တကယ္ၾကေတာ့ ႀကိဳတင္မဲ ေပးမႈဟာ အေတာ္မ်ားတယ္လို႕ ဆိုႏုိင္တယ္။ တစ္ျပည္လံုး အတုိင္းအတာနဲ႕ ၾကိဳတင္မဲ ဘယ္ေလာက္ ရိွတယ္ ဆိုတာေတာ့ အေသးစိတ္ ထုတ္ျပန္တာ မရိွေသးဘူး။ (မဲဆႏၵနယ္ တစ္ခုခ်င္း အတြက္ သတင္းစာမ်ား၌ ေဖာ္ျပျပီး ျဖစ္ပါသည္။) ေနာက္ျပီး ႀကိဳတင္မဲ အမ်ားစုဟာ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး အတြက္ ျဖစ္ေနတာကို ေထာက္ျပ တာေတြ ရိွေပမယ့္ ဒီ ႀကိဳတင္မဲ ေပးသူ အမ်ားစုဟာ မဲဆႏၵနယ္နဲ႕ အေ၀းမွာ တာ၀န္ယူ ေနရတဲ့ စစ္သားေတြ၊ ၀န္ထမ္းေတြနဲ႕ ၀န္ထမ္း မိသားစု ေတြျဖစ္လို႕ သိပ္မဆန္းပါဘူး။ ဒီလူေတြကေတာ့ ဖိအားေၾကာင့္ ျဖစ္ျဖစ္၊ သူတို႕ ဆႏၵအရ ျဖစ္ျဖစ္ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးကိုပဲ ေပးၾကမွာပါ။ ဘာပဲျဖစ္ျဖစ္ ၾကိဳတင္မဲေတြ အရမ္းမ်ားတဲ့ အတြက္ သံသယ ျဖစ္စရာေတြ ေပၚလာတာေတာ့ အမွန္ပဲ။
အခန္း ၃။ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ ရလဒ္အေပၚ ေလ့လာခ်က္။ ဒီစာတမ္းကို အျပီးသတ္ျပဳစုတဲ့အခ်ိန္ ( ႏုိ ၁၇ ) မွာ ျပည္သူ႕ လႊတ္ေတာ္ ၃ ေနရာ၊ အမ်ိဳးသားလႊတ္ေတာ္ ၂ ေနရာနဲ႕ တုိင္းေဒသၾကီး/ ျပည္နယ္လႊတ္ေတာ္ ၁၂ ေနရာအတြက္ ရလဒ္ ေတြထုတ္ျပန္ဖို႕က်န္ေသးတယ္လို႕ စာတမ္းျပဳစုသူက မွတ္ခ်က္ေပးထားျပီး ရလဒ္မ်ားကေန ျဖစ္ေပၚလာႏုိင္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေရး အေျခအေနမ်ားကို အခုလို သံုးသပ္ထားပါတယ္။
ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး ပါတီဟာ အမ်ိဳးသား လႊတ္ေတာ္ရဲ့ ေရြးခ်ယ္ခံေနရာ ၇၇ %၊ ေအာက္လႊတ္ေတာ္ရဲ့ ေရြးခ်ယ္ခံေနရာ ၇၉% မွာ အႏုိင္ရ ထားပါတယ္။ လႊတ္ေတာ္ တစ္ရပ္ခ်င္း အလိုက္ စုစုေပါင္း အမတ္ေနရာမ်ား (ေရြးခ်ယ္ခံ + တုိက္ရို္က္ခန္႕) နဲ႕ တြက္ရင္ လႊတ္ေတာ္ ႏွစ္ရပ္အတြင္း အာဏာ ခ်ိန္ခြင္လွ်ာက အခုလို ျဖစ္ေနပါတယ္။

အဲဒီလို ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးက လႊတ္ေတာ္ ႏွစ္ရပ္လံုးမွာ အသာစီး ရထားတဲ့အတြက္ ဥပေဒျပဳေရးနဲ႕ ပတ္သက္ရင္ အခုလို အေရးၾကီးတဲ့ အက်ိဳးဆက္ေတြ ျဖစ္လာပါတယ္-
- အမ်ိဳးသား လႊတ္ေတာ္နဲ႕ ျပည္သူ႕လႊတ္ေတာ္ မွာပါတဲ့ ေရြးခ်ယ္ခံ ကိုယ္စားလွယ္မ်ားက ဒုတိယ သမၼတႏွစ္ဦး အမည္စာရင္း တင္သြင္းတဲ့ အခါ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးက ေရြးခ်ယ္တဲ့သူပဲ ျဖစ္မယ္။ (ေနာက္ ဒုသမၼတ တစ္ဦးကို တပ္မေတာ္သား ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေတြက တင္သြင္းမယ္။) ျပည္ေထာင္စု လႊတ္ေတာ္ အေနနဲ႕ ဒုသမၼတ သံုးဦးထဲက သမၼတ ေရြးတဲ့ အခါမွာလည္း ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး အမတ္မ်ားက ေထာက္ခံတဲ့လူပဲ သမၼတ ျဖစ္တယ္။ ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳး အေနနဲ႕ သူတို႕ ၾကိဳက္တဲ့ သူကို သမၼတ ျဖစ္ေအာင္ လုပ္ႏုိ္င္စြမ္း ရိွသြားျပီ။
- ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးက ေထာက္ခံတဲ့ သမၼတဟာ (၂၅% အမတ္ေနရာကို ကိုင္ထားတဲ့) တပ္မေတာ္ ကာကြယ္ေရး ဦးစီးခ်ဳပ္ထက္ ဥပေဒျပဳ အာဏာ ပိုအင္အားေကာင္း သြားမယ္။ သာမန္ အမ်ားစုမဲနဲ႕ အတည္ျပဳလို႕ ရတဲ့ ဥပေဒျပဳေရး ကိစၥမ်ား အတြက္ တပ္မေတာ္သား ကိုယ္စားလွယ္မ်ားရဲ့ ေထာက္ခံမႈကို ထည့္တြက္ဖို႕ မလိုဘူး။
- ျပည္ခုိင္ျဖိဳးနဲ႕ တပ္မေတာ္သား ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေပါင္းလုိက္ရင္ ၇၅% ေက်ာ္ေနတဲ့ အတြက္ သူတို႕ႏွစ္ဖြဲ႕ ေပါင္းျပီး အေျခခံ ဥပေဒကို ျပင္လို႕ရတယ္။ အစိုးရ အဖြဲ႕၀င္ေတြကို ျပစ္တင္စြတ္စြဲ ဖယ္ရွားလို႕ ရမယ္။ က်န္တဲ့ ပါတီေတြ က်ေတာ့ ေပါင္းလိုက္ရင္ ၂၅% မျပည့္တဲ့ အတြက္ အေျခခံဥပေဒ ျပင္ဆင္ျခင္းကို ဟန္႕တားလို႕ မရေတာ့ဘူး၊ ေနာက္ၿပီး အေျခခံဥပေဒ ျပင္ဆင္ခ်က္ကို အဆိုတင္ဖို႕၊ ျပစ္တင္ စြက္စြဲဖို႕အတြက္ အဆိုတင္ဖို႕၊ အေရးေပၚ လႊတ္ေတာ္ အစည္းအေ၀း ေခၚဖို႕ အနည္းဆံုး လိုတဲ့ မဲအေရအတြက္ မျပည့္မီေတာ့ဘူး။
ဒါေပမယ့္ တုိင္းေဒသႀကီးနဲ႕ ျပည္နယ္လႊတ္ေတာ္ ေတြမွာေတာ့ အေျခအေနက တစ္မ်ိဳး ေျပာင္းသြားတယ္။

ဆက္လက္ေဖာ္ျပပါမယ္။
Posted by ပိေတာက္ေျမ at 12:03:00 AM

11/23/2010

ဆံုမွတ္

အေမ...
ေနေကာင္းပါရဲ႕လား အေမ...
ျခံနံပတ္ ၅၄ ကို
အေမ့လက္နဲ႔ ကိုယ္တိုင္ဖြင့္မယ့္တေန႔ကို
တကၠသိုလ္ရိပ္သာက သစၥာေတာ္မပ်က္
ေစာင့္ေနဆဲပါ အေမ...။

ရိွပါတယ္အေမ...
ကၽြန္ေတာ့္သူငယ္ခ်င္းေတြလည္း ရိွပါေသးတယ္...
သူတို႔လည္း ေနေကာင္းၾကပါရဲ႕

တခ်ဳိ႕ကေတာ့
ႏိုင္ငံသားေျပာင္းလဲခံယူရင္း
ျမန္မာျပည္ကို ခ်စ္ေနၾကတုန္းပဲ အေမ
ဇာတိေျမကို အလည္အပတ္ျပန္တိုင္း
“အရင္အတိုင္းပဲေနာ္” လို႔
ဝတ္ေက်တန္းေက်ႏႈတ္ဆက္
ေစ်းဝယ္မပ်က္ၾကပါဘူး။
-

တခ်ဳိ႕ကေတာ့
ဒုကၡသည္ေယာင္ေဆာင္ရင္း
(သူတို႔အေရးအတြက္) ဒို႔အေရး ဒို႔အေရးနဲ႔
နယူးေယာက္ကေန
အေမ့ လြတ္ေျမာက္ေရး ႀကိဳးပမ္းေနၾကပါသတဲ့။

အေမ့ပါတီလည္း ရိွပါေသးတယ္ အေမ...
တခ်ဳိ႕က မဲဆြယ္တုန္းမွာ တခ်ဳိ႕က မဲမေပးဖို႔ေျပာ
ပါတီဖ်က္သိမ္းခိုင္းကာမွ ေမြးေန႔ပြဲလုပ္နဲ႔
ေၾကညာခ်က္မထုတ္ေတာ့တာကလြဲရင္
အရင္လို ခမ္းခမ္းနားနားပါပဲ အေမ...။

ရန္ကုန္ကေတာ့ ျခဴခ်ာရွာတယ္အေမ...
ဦးေႏွာက္ယိုစီးမႈကို ကုစားတုန္း ေအအိုင္ဒီအက္စ္ျဖစ္
မီးစက္ေမာင္းသံေတြၾကားက “စခန္းခဏလိုက္ခဲ့ပါ” ေခၚလုိေခၚ
ဆယ္တန္းသမားေတြက အႏွိပ္ခန္းမွာစာက်က္
တခ်ဳိ႕က ထမင္းမခ်က္ႏိုင္ေတာ့
ထမင္းရည္ဝယ္ေသာက္ၾကရတယ္ အေမ
ဘာပဲေျပာေျပာ အေမ
ရန္ကုန္မွာ ေက်ာ္သူနဲ႔ ေထာင္မွဴး
သူတို႔ႏွစ္ဦးေလာက္ေတာ့
ဘယ္သူမွ အလုပ္မမ်ားဘူးေလ။

အေမ
အေမမရိွတုန္း ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔ နာဂစ္ကို သိသြားတယ္
ေရႊဝါေရာင္၊ အီလက္ထေရာနစ္ဥပေဒ၊ နယ္ျခားေစာင့္တပ္၊
ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ၊ ေနျပည္ေတာ္ - ဒါေတြနဲ႔လည္း ရင္းႏွီးသြားတယ္
အေျပာင္းအလဲေတြကေတာ့
အမ်ားႀကီးေပါ့အေမရယ္။

ရန္ကုန္မွာ ေမြးခဲ့တဲ့လူေတြက
ႏိုင္ငံျခားသားလုပ္ၿပီး ျပန္လာ
ဇာတိကို ရြံရွာသလိုလိုနဲ႔ျပန္ၾကည့္
မခ်ိေပမယ့္ မေျပာသာပါဘူး အေမ
ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔က နိမ့္ပါးခ်ိန္ကို။

အေမ
ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔ တိုက္ပြဲမွာ
ခဏခဏက်ဆံုးေပးေနရတာက
ျပကၡဒိန္စာရြက္ေတြပါ အေမ
ေဟာတစ္ရြက္ ေဟာတစ္ရြက္နဲ႔
ဆုတ္ၿဖဲပစ္ေနလိုက္ၾကတာ ...
အဲဒါ ရက္ရာဇာေတြခ်ည္းပဲဆိုတာ
ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔ အသိေနာက္က်ခဲ့ပါတယ္ အေမ။

အေမ
ေျပာၾကည့္ပါရေစ
ကၽြန္ေတာ္ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ေနတာကေလ
ဒီမိုကေရစီလည္း ဟုတ္ခ်င္မွဟုတ္မယ္
ၿငိမ္းခ်မ္းေရးလည္း ပါခ်င္မွပါမယ္
အစည္းအေဝးလည္း တက္ခ်င္မွတက္ရပါလိမ့္မယ္ အေမ
ဒါေပမယ့္
ႏိုင္ငံသားေတြ ႏိုင္ငံျခားသား ျဖစ္စရာမလိုေတာ့တဲ့ေန႔
ဒုကၡသည္ေတြ ဒုကၡသယ္စရာမလိုေတာ့တဲ့ေန႔
ႏွစ္ေယာက္ရိွရင္ သံုးဖြဲ႔မကြဲေတာ့တဲ့ေန႔
ပညာတတ္ရင္ ထမင္းမငတ္တဲ့ေန႔
အေရာင္မတူတာကို ရန္သူလို႔ မသတ္မွတ္တဲ့ေန႔
အဲဒီေန႔ကိုပါ အေမ

ကၽြန္ေတာ္လဲသြားရင္ အေမထူေပးပါ
အေမ့အားနဲ႔ မေနမနားႀကိဳစားစမ္းပါ့မယ္
ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔အားလံုး ရန္ကုန္မွာ ျပန္ဆံုၾကဖို႔ေလ။

(ကမာၻစိုးမင္း)

11/22/2010

ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ ပါတီ (ျမန္မာ)

နိုဝင္ဘာလ ၇ ရက္ေန႔က က်င္းပၿပီးစီးခဲ့တဲ့ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲဟာ တရားမွ်တမႈ မရွိဘူးလို႔ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲမွာ ပါဝင္ယွဥ္ၿပိဳင္ခဲ့တဲ့ ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ ပါတီ (ျမန္မာ) က ရန္ကုန္ၿမိဳ႕မွာ ၁၉၊၁၁။၂၀၁၀ ေန႔ သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲ ျပဳလုပ္ခဲ့ပါတယ္။

ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ ပါတီ (ျမန္မာ) ဥကၠ႒ ဦးသုေဝက “ၿပီးခဲ့တဲ့ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲ အေျခအေနအားလံုးကို ျပန္လည္ သံုးသပ္တာေပါ့ေနာ္၊ တရားမမွ်တေတြ အမ်ားႀကီး ေတြ႕ရတယ္ ဆိုတာကို ေျပာျပလိုက္တာေပါ့ေနာ္၊ အဲဒီေတာ့ ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔ကေတာ့ ဒါက သူက အစီအစဥ္ ရွိရွိနဲ႔ သူႏိုင္ေအာင္ ဖန္တီးသြားတယ္လို႔ ယူဆတာေပါ့ေနာ္။ အဲဒါေၾကာင့္မို႔ ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔က ဒီ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲႀကီးဟာျဖင့္ရင္ ျပည္သူလူထုရဲ့ ဆႏၵကို ေဖာ္ထုတ္တဲ့ ဒီမိုကေရစီ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲႀကီး ျဖစ္မဲ့အစားေပါ့ေနာ္၊ အစိုးရရဲ့ မဟာဗ်ဴဟာ ေျမာက္ေအာင္ က်င္းပသြားတဲ့ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲႀကီး ျဖစ္ပါတယ္လို႔ ကၽြန္ေတာ္တို႔ ဒါ သံုးသပ္ ေကာက္ခ်က္ခ်လိုက္တာေပါ့ေနာ္။”

ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ ပါတီ (ျမန္မာ)၏ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲႏွင့္ပါတ္သက္ေသာ သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲ အျပည့္အစံုဖတ္ရန္

ဒီမိုကရက္တစ္ ပါတီ (ျမန္မာ)၏ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲႏွင့္ပါတ္သက္ေသာ သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲ ဓါတ္ပံုမ်ား

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Maung Thar Kyaw

The Statement, dated October 30^th, and with the Place mentioned as: Sane Lai Kan Thar, the name of the State Guest House: ‘from 13:00 to 13:55 Daw Aung San Su Kyi [ASSK] came to see Union Minister U Aung Kyi, as she was invited by the Government of the Republic of Myanmar’ was issued.

At the Meeting the discussion dwelled on the situation where ‘the State is providing necessary assistances [meaning Constitution Amendments, for example, I guess]; and, in order to have economic development views on the importance of freedom of trade, and free circulation of currencies were also discussed’. And also, ‘the progress of the State’s undertakings to obtain perpetual peace initiatives with ethnic armed groups and the people that should be included in the amnesty were discussed’. Meetings in the future shall convene is agreed.

Details of the entire Meeting were not disclosed, as usual. This is the fourth time such Meeting had taken place.

After the Third Meeting between the two factions the Statement mentioned that the President was considering Amnesty, to join hands in controlling the flow of the Irrawaddy River, to bring in into legal folds of the people who are undergoing armed rebellion; and peace and rule of law were discussed.

After meeting with Aung Kyi twice ASSK met the President Thein Sein in August in Naypyidor. Soon afterward, over 200 so-called political prisoners were released under Amnesty Order. So-called political prisoner because the Governing clique consistently mentioned there is no political prisoners in Myanmar though there are plenty. There is some truth in the government’s claim that there is no political prisoner because no one was arrested under political issues but rather on criminal charges - for example: currency law, or disturbing public tranquility, etc.

ASSK met with Aung Kyi nine times under the previous military government but there was no substantive result whatsoever came out.

The Government came into existence on January 31, 2011 under the caption of the Government of the Republic of Myanmar with its President elected by the Union Parliament, a former military officer General Thein Sein. Many opinionated this General is a Dove – a soft liner, and his Deputy President Thiha Thura Tin Aung Myint Oo [Shit Loane], another ex-General is a Hawk – a hard liner; all baloney; they all are one liner, i.e. for the prosperity and welfare of the Armed Forces, meaning the top and upper echelon of the Army, under the guise of democracy.

New Guise needs, of course, new format and that new format is what the new government is formatting or formatted by the military junta before the State Power was transferred and implementing it as planned. Whether former SG Than Shwe is pulling the string from behind or is he still involved in day to day affairs are all irrelevant, though his State managed private office near Oatparta Thati Pagoda in Naypyidor is hooked with Online TV honing in onto the proceedings of the Union Parliament. He knows or he is privy to know who is behaving or misbehaving in the Union Parliament but whether he is watching the TV is something yet to be known or playing his favorite games.

The Executive, Judiciary, and Legislature were formed and on March 30^th the State Power was transferred; the military junta SPDC was dissolved. The Ministry of Interior had given warnings to NLD Chairman Aung Shwe and Secretary ASSK in the last week of June to stop all its political activities as NLD is no political party according to the Party Registration Law of the Union Election Commission. The Ministry warning emphatically mentioned that NLD’s actions were intentionally motivated against the Law.

On top of that Union Election Commission had warned with a letter dated April 5^th to all 37 Registered Political Parties not to communicate with illegal political entities. Presumably, political circles as well as diplomatic community considered the warning was directed towards NDL.

Though the new government’s changing color is visible it is still noticeably unruly. The disregards of public opinions as well as international barrages remain as the hallmark of the Thein Sein’s Administration.

Disregarding its own Ministry’s Order Thein Sein allowed Minister Aung Kyi to parley with ASSK and even invited her to Naypyidor and received her exclusively where all political leaders from the Registered Political Parties are treated shabbily at the same occasion.

The Constitution was amended proposed by the Union Election Commission regarding the Membership where criminals cannot be party members or a political entity cannot register if its members are serving criminals. That phrase has now been erased for the sake of NLD. That amendment had made eased NLD to avoid the issue of abandoning its own jailed members when and if they apply for Party Registration.

The antagonistic political ogres of Burma are, on the visual body politics, in cordial relationship. One is, up to recent past, enjoyed full support of China and now trying its best to veer off to get into the western orbit. The other ogre has, from the very beginning to present, receives consistent and absolute no-matter-what support from the western camp. It has four Radio stations providing overwhelming support in high volume of propaganda just for one person, viz. Radio Free Asia and Voice of America [two US outfits], BBC [British outfit], and Democratic Voice of Burma [EU outfit] beaming into Burma where people are socket in with one line to support, day in and day out, every day. This ogre is the western group’s horse of Burma and Thein Sein Administration wants to ride along with that horse to the winning post. Is consistent propping up necessitate a leader to become an icon? Yes, it is, at least in Burma, it has been proven!

Within a couple of days NLD will decide whether to register and the outcome is quite predictable: ‘if ASSK is promised to contest in the upcoming By-election then NLD will allow to Register by ASSK regardless of party or public opinion’. Does it mean: ‘if she is not allowed to contest in the upcoming By-election’ then NLD will not be permitted to register by ASSK? Quite likely so, as all the past behaviors indicated that: ‘person is superior to policy’, and the ‘party is dispensable’.

So far, there is no knowledge that the outcome of the Aung Kyi-Su Kyi Meeting had agreed whether ASSK will be allowed to contest in the election. If that is the case the amendment of the constitution will be a major issue. At the end of the day, one faction will sure to swallow the other like python. No on

e knows, which one will come out as the python and which one is Mai Dwe Lay.

Maung Thar Kyaw

Taiwan, November 3, 2011.

Here she is, Thinzar Win, on the right.

Could you still think you are looking at Burmese girls who are posting for this photo in Rangoon? If you think the junta is to be blamed for all decadent aspects, then, your thinking may be inconclusive.

Shwedarling.com, a website for dating and mating prevails in today’s Burma. In 1988 no one could dream that Burma would be at this stage today but it has advanced so fast and so vast.

Infested with nouveau riche in the ngathalau’ economy decadences are abound; instead of tea break at usual hour at or around 4:00 PM now the nouveau riche have new past time at 3:30 PM or so – “Time to squeeze Pau’ Si” at Karaoke bars that are mushrooming through out Burma!

Junta’s policies may have pushed urbanites to that corner but it is just a plain excuse. Getting along by going along is a sin, by all means.

Here is another exhibit to think of!

Moe Hay Ko, another Model, good at Catwalk as well as other walks – bed walk [?] smooching somewhere in the quiet corner!

Salamani Kantchalar!

Burma was under absolute monarchy from 1044 AD until 1885 AD and was under different dynasties. The Monarchs yearned to possess White Elephant; i.e. to claim as the Owner of the White Elephant or Sin Phyu Shin, or, if they have more than one White Elephant, then, Sin Phyu Myarr Shin!

One White Elephant-crazy king even commanded to retrieve a dead elephant floated down the river that had resemblances of White Elephant and kept in his palace and claimed he was the Sin Phuy Shin.

White Elephant is considered to represent the power and glory of the Owner and the White Elephant would appear, according to the myth, only if the Ruler of the country has strong Power and Glory.

Burma has dictators since 1962: viz. Ne Win, Saw Maung, Than Shwe; and, all of them seem to believe that they were the royalty somehow or other. The last dynasty, Koane Baung, ended with His Majesty King Thibaw. The prophecy had it that there would be 13 Koane Baung kings to reign Burma. Thibaw was the 11th and two more kings are yet to reign. Ne Win presumed he was the 12th Koane Baung King! Saw Maung seemed to have believed that he was the reincarnation of King Kyan Sit Tharr of the Pagan Dynasty, and, Than Shwe believes he was the reincarnation of King Thar Lun.

During Thar Lun Than Shwe’s reign, a White Elephant was sited in the jungle of Rakhine State. With pomp and pageantry the White Elephant was brought to Rangoon, the then Nay Pyi Daw and kept in the highly decorated pavilion that befits only to the royalty with special elephant guards, etc., so on and so forth. All the necessary arrangements were carried out by MI and its Chief Lt. Gen. Khin Nyunt who believes he was the reincarnation of Bayint Naung of Taungngoo Dynasty, though he never got to the top most spot of the junta’s ivory tower. The propaganda mill was fanning at high speed that the current rulers of Burma have highly auspicious power and glory so much so that the White Elephant was presented by the Nats [Resplendent being worthy of veneration].

Within a few months after the White Elephant had settled in at the newly built pavilion a Bangladeshi, or, to be more exact, a Chittagonian, or better known in Burma as Khortaw Kalar showed up at the Bangladeshi Embassy in Rangoon, claiming that the elephant at the Pavilion was his elephant that was herded away by the Burmese while grazing in the jungle and requested the Bangladeshi Ambassador to reclaim the elephant from the Burmese junta on his behalf. To cut the story short the Ambassador along with the Officials from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and MI officers went to the Pavilion with the Khortaw Kalar and demanded to prove his claim.

There, Khortaw Kalar stepped out and bellowed: Salamani Kantchalar!

At the very instant the ‘Command’ was heard the White Elephant lifted up his trunk and trumpeted a very loud noise. The ‘Command’ was given for the second time and the White Elephant responded in the same manner again. Then, Khortaw Kalar commanded in more Khortaw words: the White Elephant was under complete spell of commands – sitting, kneeling, etc. Now, the claim was proven to be true and the negotiation was but started. MI ended up paying US $ 100,000.00 from the State coffer as demanded by the Khortaw Kalar for the White Elephant that was supposed to have been presented by the Nats due to the power and glory of the rulers of Burma.

Khortaw did not stop then and there. He added there are four more such elephants in his possession and they were up for sale if the price is right. MI arranged a delegation to accompany the Khortaw to his native village in the no-man’s land between Bangladesh and Burma to inspect the so called White Elephants. There, the delegation found two more White Elephants out of the four and agreed to pay US$ 200,000 a piece.

Burmese delegation could not just take the two elephants away they bought; they need the Khortaw to release the two in the Rakhine jungle for them to herd them back to Burma later as though it was naturally sited. Thus, the usurper royalties of Burma got three White Elephants at a price of US $ 500,000.

Some one got excited regarding the Salamani Kantchalar and traced back how it came into existence! In the anal of Burma there was a time when a Shan Prince by the name of Sao Han Pha, better known as Tho Han Bwa reigned Burma. He was a tyrant by all means; conceited and insolent, and very much anti-Buddhist religion. During his rein many Monks were tortured, killed and extradited to far away places and forced them from learning Buddhist scripture. Tho Han Bwa was the Daman daye [impediment endangering the teachings of Buddha] of his time. Under Tho Han Bwa, some aspects of Buddhist incantations had changed; for example: Buddhan Tharanan Gitsarmi, Dhaman Tharanan Gitsarmi but Sanghan Tharanan was turned into Gunsarmi, and Buddhan Puzaymi, Dhaman Puzaymi, and Sangan had turned into Pu-Jail-mi, just like recent events under Daman daye Thar Lun Than Shwe.

Many Burmese fled to far away places, including Burma-Bangladesh border to fight back Tho Han Bwa and/or other tyrants. There, they deployed Khortaws to attend their elephants. Khortaws were taught to learn ‘Commands’ in Burmese but it was very difficult for the Khortaws to learn the necessary commands for the elephants. By virtue of wits a Burmese gave a ‘battle command or a battle cry’ for the elephants: “Sarr Lho. Ma Nyee Kanazoe Thee”, in rhyme with the actual command. That, Khortaw could learn with not much difficulty. As the time woes on the command Sarr Lho. Ma Nyee Kanazoe Thee had resonance into Salamani Kantchalar!

Ne Win who presumed to be the 12th Koane Baung, Saw Maung who presumed to be the reincarnation of King Kyan Sit Tharr of the Pagan Dynasty, and the cagey sly fox Khin Nyunt who believes he was the reincarnation of Bayint Naung of Taungngoo Dynasty had all but ended badly. Now we have to see how Than Shwe who believes he was the reincarnation of King Thar Lun ended? Is it to believe that those who sit on such chairs excrete such excreta?

As a matter of fact, the real Owner of the White Elephants or the Sin Phyu Myarr Shin actually was the Khortaw Kalar of Bangladesh!

By the way,
All the Usurpers,
Ne Win, Saw Maung, Than Shwe are mere “Suu Yauts”!